People have long maintained that I am insane for believing that Chuck DeVore will win the California U.S. Senate race. People said the same thing to me when I said that Scott Brown would win or that Marco Rubio would win in Florida. (Yes, I know it's pending, but have you seen the polls?) People don't really say that I'm nuts, at least as far as political predictions are concerned anymore.
Today, Rasmussen released a poll showing Chuck DeVore down by only 5 points -- which compares very favorable to Campbell and Fiorina, each down four points. With such a close difference, can Republicans really afford to elect R.I.N.O.s like Fiorina and Campbell? I hope not. Here's the mention from Rasmussen:
Boxer leads still state Assemblyman Chuck Devore, 47% to 42%. Six percent (6%) prefer some other candidate in that match-up, and five percent (5%) are undecided. In January, Boxer held a 46% to 40% advantage over Devore. In November, she led Devore by 10 points.George Will has already laid out how he thinks he's going to win the nomination, which I wrote about here.
Here's how I think it's going to happen.
The California primary is in the summer. Add in the fact that there's a closed primary, and you have a very, very good chance that the tea party movement of which DeVore's affiliated will get the turnout we need to nominate DeVore. In a debate, DeVore will crush Boxer.