Wednesday, January 20, 2010

Scott Brown Won 10th Congressional District With 61% of the Vote


Scott Brown's election might mean the rise of a successful Republican candidate in MA 10th congressional. I spent a chunk of the afternoon analyzing the town by town results from the MA Senate election. The most surprising thing I found was by just how much the Cape went for Scott Brown.

Scott Brown, you'll remember, opposed the Cape Wind program, a project that whatever its environmental merits would have deleteriously affected already depressed property values on the Cape.

The lean Democratic leaning district is MA 10th Congressional District. It is currently represented by Bill Delahunt, but Delahunt is getting up there in his years. If he retires in the coming years, expect the unexpected: a Republican pickup of this congressional seat.

My analysis of the district's town votes are as follows:



Turnout Scott Brown Martha Coakley Joseph Kennedy
Abington 60% 4158 2088 61
Barnstable 65% 12331 7543 179
Bourne 61% 5134 2807 76
Brewster 64% 2730 2416 46
Carver 56% 3222 1611 50
Chatham 65% 2179 1488 27
Cohasset 70% 2,401 1,419 17
Dennis 65% 4358 3131 76
Duxbury 70% 4,982 2,674 44
Eastham 71% 1,473 1,540 25
Falmouth 59% 8,041 7,133 128
Hanover 71% 4,731 1,895 35
Hanson 65% 3,067 1,254 35
Harwich 62% 3,597 2,635 51
Hingham 72% 6,800 4,416 53
Hull 58% 2,409 2,037 44
Kingston 63% 3,576 1,701 31
Marshfield 66% 7,677 3,895 91
Mashpee 61% 3,835 2,313 60
Norwell 70% 3,485 1,680 32
Orleans 68% 1,961 1,705 26
Pembroke 61% 5,134 2,424 41
Plymouth 60% 14,276 7,989 176
Plympton 70% 951 444 14
Provincetown 55% 238 1,344 16
Quincy 47% 15,607 13,330 325
Rockland 56% 4,253 2,231 89
Sandwich 65% 6,625 3,416 61
Scituate 69% 5,584 3,474 61
Truro 64% 396 673 7
Wellfleet 64% 596 1,075 25
Weymouth 69% 15,093 8,104 235
Yarmouth 60% 6,496 4,390 98







Total


Average turnout 167396 106275 2335

64% 0.611668756 0.388331244 0.008532143

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