Thursday, January 29, 2009

Andrew Sullivan: Same Old, Same Old, But Eloquent (At Least)

Andrew Sullivan is a poor man's Christopher Hitchens. Poor in the sense that he's one of America's favorite contrarians, but whereas Hitchen is subtle, unwavering and original, Sullivan repeats much of the same old tired things we've heard from the Left ever since Bush took office -- that he was selected, not election; that Cheney really ran the government; that torture was committed by U.S. soldiers with the complicit knowledge of the Bush adminstration; and on and on.

I'll deal with the torture question in a subsequent blog post, but I thought that I would mention rather quickly that I was taken aback by the very long answer to my question tonight on Governor Palin and his obsession with transparency surrounding her child. I had asked Mr. Sullivan if he felt as if he had a duty to be asking the same kinds of questions of Obama that he had spent diving into the personal, familial life of Ms. Palin. President Obama still has not released his medical records, his birth certificate, or his university grades. So much for the transparency Sullivan demanded of the Bush administration and Governor Palin.

I think that it would be a rather remarkable and not altogher unwelcome gesture if a politician, in the first recorded instance of this in perhaps human history, claimed a child that wasn't theirs. Aren't we more cross with politicians for fathering children and then ignoring them than with raising children that aren't their own (assuming, of course, Ms. Palin didn't birth Trig.) Indeed, contrary to what Mr. Sullivan argued tonight, he has still maintained that there are legitimate questions surrounding Trig Palin. Here is the December 5 blog post I asked him about this evening. Take a look for yourself. Here's just a sample paragraph of the extent to which he's gone to with respect to Palin's baby. Just imagine if he had shown a shred of due diligence he did in consulting eight (why not two or three?) obstreticians in the country on the matter of Trig Palin. Oh, and that's after his mother was defeated for the position of vice presidency.
Actually, the Dish went out and interviewed eight of the leading obstetricians in the country and laid out all the facts of the case and asked the experts for their take. While none would say that this pregnancy could not have happened, and none would comment on a case they hadn't examined personally, all of them said it was one of the strangest and unlikeliest series of events they had ever heard of and found Palin's decision to forgo medical help for more than a day after her water broke and risk the life of her unborn child on a long airplane trip to be reckless beyond measure.
Sullivan cannot turn around and claim that the vice presidency is a major office and that we need someone strong in that role after he argued tonight that Vice President Cheney was effectively president. Either the Vice Presidency has a very limited role or it's an important job. It cannot be both. And if the Democrats are going to reassert some "constitutional order" as he claimed tonight -- one one wonders just what the whole fiscal stimulus was about then!-- then wouldn't you want your Vice President just to go to funerals and preside over the Senate?

The obsession with Trig Palin goes a bit too far. Sullivan has written dozens of blog posts about Palin's pregnancy. Just how much asking of questions did Sullivan do for his preferred candidate, Obama?

He's demanded that the McCain people release some kind of information about Trig. Might it be just as possible that she didn't feel comfortable with her Down Syndrome baby getting all sorts of attention? Rather incredulously, Sullivan said that it was one thing for you to claim your family was off limits -- a position he claimed to defend -- and another to hold your child up at the Convention like in "The Lion King." He claims that Palin made it a political issue by holding up the baby at the convention. Would it seem fair to say then, that Sasha and Malia have become political issues now that an open letter was written from Obama to his daughters? Obama's made a big deal about how he has fathered children in wedlock as part of an appeal to conservative Democrats that he might be a force for good parenting with black men. Obama wanted us to "lay off his wife," but clearly had no trouble bringing her out on the campaign trail.

Sorry, but I don't buy the argument and find his view that the birth certificate thing is "no big deal" a little implausible. If Obama were a foreign national, which he may very well be, then it represents the greatest constitutional crisis ever. Obama could, just as the McCain camp should in Sullivan's eyes, dismiss those allegations immediately by releasing the information.

Of course I delighted in how long he took to answer my question -- by far the most time he took on any question -- and the rant he gave about the governor of Alaska. I find it somehow revealing that he spent the most time on the Q & A on my question. He could have answered it quickly, instead he launched into something about how his role as a writer is in the "netherworld" of chatting with your friends on instant messaging and serious reporting.

Who does Mr. Sullivan think he is? Entertainment Weekly?

On the Syrian Ambassador

I must say I'm quite relieved that Jesse Blumenthal CMC '11 and Ian Johnson CMC '09 did not let Imad Moustapha off the hook and prodded him respectfully with rather tough questions. Bravo, gentlemen, you represented Claremont McKenna at her best. Though I could have done without the sycophantic question about how the U.S. could help Syria achieve peace. Sometimes I really wonder about this college. 


I've been asked (a lot) on why I did not attend last night's talk, but having read Ilan's post, I should say that I'm rather glad that I was indisposed. Unlike our current president, I won't sit down without preconditions and have dinner or dialogue with the representative of a regime that funds the destruction of Israel and the destablizing of Lebanon, however liberalizing and good that regimes trend lines may have been. I suppose the Mullahs of Iran would have asked for slightly more money and we wouldn't want to be too derivative of Columbia, would we? I'm really breathing easier knowing that our tuition dollars in some sense went to the Syrian regime. 

I'm relieved to see that Wes Woods II, a local journalist, has a nice write up on the talk here. I was struck by the following paragraph. It sounded awfully like OJ's promise to find about "the real killers." Here is what he said about the murder of Rafiq al-Hariri by (probably) Syrian agents.
"Here in the U.S., is a powerful pro-Israel lobby," Moustapha said. "These are observations among anti-Syrian circles. They are baseless ... We in Syria believe it serves our national interest to find the truth of that terrible crime."
Good luck, sir. We really believe you. 

Syrian Ambassador Very Good At His Job (and lies through his teeth)

[NOTE: I just found Jesse Blumenthal's own response to the Ambassador posted on the CMC Forum website. Please check it out here.]

The Syrian Ambassador, Imad Moustapha, spoke (read: lied) at the Athenaeum last night -- and he's very good at what he does. He used the asymmetry of information to paint a picture of urban myths that Americans have about Syria and the Palestinian-Israeli conflict. I challenge everyone who was at the Athenaeum to make good on his suggestion to learn the facts. I'm sure you'll discover how the illustrious Ambassador was lying through his teeth at the Ath.

First off, hats off to Jesse Blumenthal '11 for challenging the Ambassador on the plutonium processing facility that the Israelis raided last year. The Ambassador, assuming Jesse wouldn't have the access to information that he had or that he simply wouldn't know the facts, said that not a single Israeli claimed that the plant they bombed was for processing plutonium, and that it was all merely an invention of the United States. Jesse ingeniously whipped out his I-Phone, and found this article from the Times of London, no less, which proved the Ambassador wrong! Thankfully, the Ath fellow allowed Jesse to counter the Ambassador's disingenuous answer, after which the Ambassador said he didn't want to get into a "petty" back-and-forth. The only thing petty about the whole matter was his deceit and refusal to confront the facts. Here's an excerpt from the Times article:

"ISRAEL’S top-secret air raid on Syria in September destroyed a bomb factory assembling warheads fuelled by North Korean plutonium, a leading Israeli nuclear expert has told The Sunday Times. Professor Uzi Even of Tel Aviv University was one of the founders of the Israeli nuclear reactor at Dimona, the source of the Jewish state’s undeclared nuclear arsenal. “I suspect that it was a plant for processing plutonium, namely, a factory for assembling the bomb,” he said. “I think the DPRK [Democratic People’s Republic of Korea] transferred to Syria weapons-grade plutonium in raw form, that is nuggets of easily transported metal in protective cans. I think the shaping and casting of the plutonium was supposed to be in Syria.”

Furthermore, after speaking to Professor Ed Haley today about the talk, I've decided to look back at the IAEA report which he said proved that there was no plutonium. As it turns out, the IAEA report was not only inconclusive regarding the existence of a nuclear plant, but it was suspicious that Syria's facility did in fact appear to be one! That's right -- the Ambassador was out-right lying. Check out the facts here from the Los Angeles Times:

"An investigation into a remote Syrian site bombed by Israel 14 months ago has provided no conclusive answers so far, but sparked speculation about the source of trace amounts of radioactive material found at the site. A report published Wednesday by the International Atomic Energy Agency said satellite imagery from the location near Dair Alzour suggested that the construction site “appears to have been similar” to the layout of a nuclear reactor. Syria and Iran have both failed to cooperate fully with international inspectors, the U.N. agency said in a pair of reports delivered to its governing board. Tehran is slowly but steadily increasing its stockpile of enriched uranium and preparing thousands more machines to ramp up its nuclear capacity, which Iran insists is only meant to produce energy."



Putting aside the fact that the Ambassador refused to answer a question from Ian Johnson '09 about whether Syria was supporting insurgent who were killing U.S. troops in Iraq, another thing the Ambassador lied about was the negotiation between Arafat and Ehud Barak about the Oslo Peace Accords. An astute questioner asked if the Arabs really did want all the territories back for peace as he claimed, why did they not accept the year 2000 offer to return to the Palestinian some 90% of the disputed territories? The Ambassador once again lied, saying that there was never such an offer, that it was another "Urban Myth." He used Robert Malley's (he was a Clinton official involved in the talks) famous article in the New York Review of Books, "Camp David: The Tragedy of Errors," which you can read yourself here, which the Ambassador claimed proved that there was no offer. In fact, the article says nothing of the sort! In the article, he actually explores "why what so many viewed as a generous Israeli offer, the Palestinians viewed as neither generous, nor Israeli, nor, indeed, as an offer." So what's his actual conclusions?



I quote the essential elements from the beginning, but one really should read the whole thing:



The better route, he thought, was to present all concessions and all rewards in one comprehensive package that the Israeli public would be asked to accept in a national referendum. Oslo was being turned on its head. It had been a wager on success—a blank check signed by two sides willing to take difficult preliminary steps in the expectation that they would reach an agreement. Barak's approach was a hedge against failure—a reluctance to make preliminary concessions out of fear that they might not.

Much the same can be said about Israel's expansion of the West Bank settlements, which proceeded at a rapid pace. Barak saw no reason to needlessly alienate the settler constituency. Moreover, insofar as new housing units were being established on land that Israel ultimately would annex under a permanent deal—at least any permanent deal Barak would sign—he saw no harm to the Palestinians in permitting such construction. In other words, Barak's single-minded focus on the big picture only magnified in his eyes the significance—and cost—of the small steps. Precisely because he was willing to move a great distance in a final agreement (on territory or on Jerusalem, for example), he was unwilling to move an inch in the preamble (prisoners, settlements, troop redeployment, Jerusalem villages).

Barak's principles also shed light on his all-or-nothing approach. In Barak's mind, Arafat had to be made to understand that there was no "third way," no "reversion to the interim approach," but rather a corridor leading either to an agreement or to confrontation.


[...I'm skipping now to way down in the article...]

The final and largely unnoticed consequence of Barak's approach is that, strictly speaking, there never was an Israeli offer. Determined to preserve Israel's position in the event of failure, and resolved not to let the Palestinians take advantage of one-sided compromises, the Israelis always stopped one, if not several, steps short of a proposal. The ideas put forward at Camp David were never stated in writing, but orally conveyed. They generally were presented as US concepts, not Israeli ones; indeed, despite having demanded the opportunity to negotiate face to face with Arafat, Barak refused to hold any substantive meeting with him at Camp David out of fear that the Palestinian leader would seek to put Israeli concessions on the record. Nor were the proposals detailed. If written down, the American ideas at Camp David would have covered no more than a few pages. Barak and the Americans insisted that Arafat accept them as general "bases for negotiations" before launching into more rigorous negotiations.

According to those "bases," Palestine would have sovereignty over 91 percent of the West Bank; Israel would annex 9 percent of the West Bank and, in exchange, Palestine would have sovereignty over parts of pre-1967 Israel equivalent to 1 percent of the West Bank, but with no indication of where either would be. On the highly sensitive issue of refugees, the proposal spoke only of a "satisfactory solution." Even on Jerusalem, where the most detail was provided, many blanks remained to be filled in. Arafat was told that Palestine would have sovereignty over the Muslim and Christian quarters of the Old City, but only a loosely defined "permanent custodianship" over the Haram al-Sharif, the third holiest site in Islam. The status of the rest of the city would fluctuate between Palestinian sovereignty and functional autonomy. Finally, Barak was careful not to accept anything. His statements about positions he could support were conditional, couched as a willingness to negotiate on the basis of the US proposals so long as Arafat did the same.



Thus, it is clear that the Ambassador was simply lying. Malley was criticizing Barak for not agreeing to interim steps, which Barak naturally (and with good reason) felt might lead to Israeli concessions but without a final agreement. Malley was also criticizing Barak for being vague on some counts and not putting the agreement in writing, and also his political maneuvering (to deal with domestic politics). But the fact is, the land was offered, and Arafat refused it -- and the rigmaroles of the process allowed Arafat, and now the Syrian Ambassador, to lie about it and seize those minor issues of process as excuses not to accept the generous offer.


Malley's article does provide a wealth of information of how this can be avoided in the future, and his criticism is noteworthy -- I don't mean to completely throw his arguments out. I am merely pointing out that Imad Moustapha lied to us. He twisted and manipulated specific elements of Malley's piece. Read the rest of Malley's article, I insist.


[Update: I just found in the New York Review of Books TWO responses to Malley's original piece -- one with an interview of Ehud Barak himself, and the other from the head of the Clinton peace team. As it turns out, Moustapha really was stretching the truth; that's what happens when you rely only on one side of the story, and twist it at that. Read the responses here and here.]


The Syrian Ambassador was right about one thing -- many times Americans, and us students, don't have all the facts at hand. We don't read enough. It is the job of the Syrian Ambassador, however, to learn this stuff day in and day out so he can spin it to make the Israelis and the United States look bad and the Arab world look good. So I do urge everyone who was at the Athenaeum to do their own reading. And as long as Syria sends ambassadors such as Imad Moustapha, they continue to prove that they are not interested in peace in the Middle East. The reality is more complicated than Israel is all to blame or the Arabs are all to blame.


Peace in the Middle East can't happen as long as individuals such as the Syrian Ambassador play fast and loose with the facts. And Claremont students shouldn't buy a single thing he said yesterday. There will be another talk on the Israel-Palestine conflict, this time by Efraim Inbar, an Israeli conservative, at the Ath on February 11. I encourage anyone who was at the Athenaeum last night to get both sides of the story -- but they should equally challenge Mr. Inbar. No side has a monopoly on the truth, and it is everyone's job to question and challenge every speaker.


Keynesian Spending Won't Work To Get Us Out of Depression, Says CMC Prof. and Others

Behold, the economists who disagree with the new, supposed Keynesian consensus! The paid advertisement was sponsored by the Cato Institute, ran in the New York Times, and was signed by CMC professor, Richard Burdekin. Aditya, Sam, and I are all in Richard Burdekin's Macroeconomics class right now. Without a doubt, it is one of my favorite classes that I have taken at Claremont.

Here it is below. I have truncated the names so that you might see only the one that is most relevant to us.

Jan 27, 2009

"There is no disagreement that we need action by our government, a recovery plan that will help to jumpstart the economy." — Presiden-elect Barack Obama, January 9, 2009

Notwithstanding reports that all economists are now Keynesians and that we all support a big increase in the burden of government, we the undersigned do not believe that more government spending is a way to improve economic performance.

More government spending by Hoover and Roosevelt did not pull the United States economy out of the Great Depression in the 1930s. More government spending did not solve Japan’s “lost decade” in the 1990s. As such, it is a triumph of hope over experience to believe that more government spending will help the U.S. today. To improve the economy, policymakers should focus on reforms that remove impediments to work, saving, investment and production. Lower tax rates and a reduction in the burden of government are the best ways of using fiscal policy to boost growth.

.....

MICHAEL BORDO, Rutgers University
SAMUEL BOSTAPH, Univ. of Dallas
SCOTT BRADFORD, Brigham Young University
GENEVIEVE BRIAND, Eastern Washington University
GEORGE BROWER, Moravian College
JAMES BUCHANAN, Nobel laureate
RICHARD BURDEKIN, Claremont McKenna College
HENRY BUTLER, Northwestern University
WILLIAM BUTOS, Trinity College
PETER CALCAGNO, College of Charleston
BRYAN CAPLAN, George Mason University

....