Monday, October 22, 2007

Claremont Institute's William Rusher on Russia

On October 18, in The Billings Gazette, Wiliam Rusher of The Claremont Institute writes about Russia and how Putin, despite his autocracy, isn't quite the threat we've made him out to be. Russia, he notes, is on the decline and unlike to rise once more.

Rusher writes that "[Russia] is nowhere near as big, let alone as powerful. And its demographic trends are disastrous; on present projections by the mid-21st century, Russia's population will be smaller than Yemen's." And yet, paradoxically, he also writes that, "Russia, by any standard, is a big and important country, and it should not be surprising that its president insists on throwing his weight around from time to time." Further, he believes that "Russia today is no military threat to the United States, or even to its much closer neighbors, and there is no prospect that it is likely to become one."

I would agree in part --that Russia won't rise in the near future to produce the kind of horrors of the 20th century-- but, in a world where nuclear weapons will ultimately be detonated by Islamic terrorists, a weak Russia terrifies me. A weak Russia will be a Russia whose nukes can be bought with Saudi-cash and whose detonation will be over American cities. A strong Russia, even if a fascist Russia -- I hope -- would be less inclined to hurt us.

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